Polymarket Trader

33923189

0xea45124c26c5fe50ab6d7786776b47f42da7284c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.74K
Realized PnL: $100.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $27.92K
Potential payout: $29.63K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.46K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: $385

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $9.2K
Potential payout: $9.77K
Potential profit: $571.75
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $208.47

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.69K
Potential profit: $9.69K
User PnL: -$7.85K

No position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $5.71K
Potential payout: $6.76K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $50.4

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $6.07K
Potential profit: $3.67K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$16.54

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $352.96
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$25.69

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $2.99
User PnL: $73.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.96K

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.81K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.59K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16K

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85K

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

No position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.06

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.26

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $474.63

No position

Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.48

No position

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 96% 10,000 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93% 8,173.52 shares
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

No 83.8% 6,759.53 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 39.8% 6,073.12 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 74% 20 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 74% 9,385.62 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 74% 40,536.06 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 90.9% 5,071.53 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 91.2% 3,176.3 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 91.4% 6,739.39 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 96.8% 2,819.7 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 76% 6,000 shares