GhostCandle

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $688.37
Potential profit: $688.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $499.97
Potential profit: $499.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $447.25
Potential profit: $447.25
User PnL: -$291

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395.46
Potential profit: $395.46
User PnL: -$3.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334.15
Potential profit: $334.15
User PnL: -$23.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.2
Potential profit: $264.2
User PnL: -$9.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $252.88
Potential profit: $252.88
User PnL: -$141.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$17.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $144.47
Potential profit: $144.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $122.5
Potential profit: $122.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.44
Potential profit: $111.44
User PnL: -$11.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $92.85
Potential profit: $92.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.75
Potential profit: $77.75
User PnL: -$16.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $56.4
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $59.95
Potential profit: $59.71
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $57.75
Potential profit: $57.17
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$6.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.98
Potential profit: $49.98
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.28
Potential profit: $46.28
User PnL: -$8.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.47
Potential profit: $37.47
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$11.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$15.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$6.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.72
Potential profit: $28.72
User PnL: -$1.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.48
Potential profit: $19.48
User PnL: -$11.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET