Polymarket Trader

Italiancabin

0xea4ddcbf18a018dae3cbf8a85b9a9c8c04fdc654

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $95.57
Realized PnL: $17.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $32.47
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.57

No position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $8.36
Potential payout: $26.13
Potential profit: $17.77
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $21.45
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$19.89

No position

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $16.75
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $8.56
Potential payout: $19.45
Potential profit: $10.89
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$6.42

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $7.91
Potential payout: $16.32
Potential profit: $8.4
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $13.83
Potential payout: $13.91
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $13.68
Potential profit: $12.24
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$3.63

No position

Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $12.59
Potential payout: $13.25
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $12.56
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$2.42

No position

Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $12.89
Potential payout: $12.94
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $10.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Milady floor price reach 6 ETH before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $5.17
Potential payout: $6.99
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.41K

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.12K

No Change position

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on Friday?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $926.04

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $742.2

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $725.7

Galions position

LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $678.72

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $645.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $614.53

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.69

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.01

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.79

Ursa position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.44

T1 position

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410.75

Nigma Galaxy position

Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.5

Anyones Legend position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.08

No position

Odds Nasralla wins Honduras presidential election Sunday over 30%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $373.54

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $343.45

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 25?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $337.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.03

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?

No 99.3% 17.04 shares
US defaults on debt by 2027?

No 96.6% 19.07 shares
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

No 97.9% 29.87 shares
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99.1% 19.68 shares
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

No 95.5% 36.07 shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Weibo Gaming 99.9% 235.21 shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

JD Gaming 99.9% 1,943.61 shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner

JD Gaming 99.9% 3,402.93 shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

JD Gaming 87% 78.11 shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

JD Gaming 72% 112.1 shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

JD Gaming 66.9% 169 shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

JD Gaming 70.1% 169 shares