Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $561.54
- Potential profit
- $561.54
- User PnL
- -$400.13
Polymarket Trader
Shiraikuroko
0xea52eb4e3392d6c788de2024d4c7918dc1bcea25
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $666.07
- Realized PnL
- $1.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $464.78
- Potential payout
- $471.14
- Potential profit
- $6.36
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $64.78
No position
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.56
- Potential profit
- $221.56
- User PnL
- -$55
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $201.29
- Potential payout
- $206.03
- Potential profit
- $4.74
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?
Ends Aug 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.95
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.83
Yes position
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.04
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.34
Yes position
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.67
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.49
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.48
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.94
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.62
Yes position
Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.96
Yes position
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.79
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.65
Yes position
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.61
Yes position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.32
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.32
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.9
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $17.43
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1
Yes position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.65
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.54
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 40% 175.21 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 20.4% 348.83 shares
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Yes 91.3% 350 shares
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Yes 80% 350 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 300 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 41% 73.17 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 18.8% 106.38 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 49% 102.04 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 20.6% 242.45 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 164.84 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 25.2% 420.22 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 96.4% 51.87 shares