No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $102.41
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $102.41
Polymarket Trader
0xEA7008450464D71e9Cfb57Bb91908d88Bdc250d7-1722884028969
0xea7008450464d71e9cfb57bb91908d88bdc250d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $25.53
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.45
- Multiplier
- 9.01x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$10.5
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $19.6
- Potential payout
- $24.27
- Potential profit
- $4.67
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.11
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 10.3% 50 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 82.4% 24.27 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 22% 52.63 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 92% 21.74 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No 60.2% 50 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes 0.2% 400 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 40% 25 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 27% 25 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No 42% 50 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 22% 100 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 84% 119.05 shares