No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $465.77
- Potential payout
- $470
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
ukraine5
@ukraine51927232
0xea727d2448de281932d0fbdf1dd668b7a5f3833e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $504.47
- Realized PnL
- $322.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $38.7
- Potential payout
- $38.93
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.8
Yes position
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.9
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $18.06
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will Dan Caine visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.37
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
No position
Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Doge ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will BTC close above $102K on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.1% 470 shares
- Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 98.5% 38.93 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 16?Yes 96% 9.68 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 16?Yes 96.7% 50 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?No 99% 457 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 16?Yes 99.8% 91 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 16?Yes 99.8% 200 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 16?Yes 99.8% 55 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 16?Yes 99.8% 111 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 23?No 99.3% 249.49 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 60.7% 115 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No 89% 199.99 shares