No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $8.5K
- Potential payout
- $8.56K
- Potential profit
- $59.95
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Polymarket Trader
FATMAN
0xea837d5472f73559fcb68423e5444df247a05c8f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.96K
- Realized PnL
- $44.51K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.04K
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $633.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $567.04
No position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.06K
- Potential payout
- $3.34K
- Potential profit
- $284.32
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $618.8
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $125.7
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $288.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21K
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8K
Yes position
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5K
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Yes position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Yes position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $971.07
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $948.57
No position
Israel strikes Iran before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $922.02
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $870
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $810
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98.2% 5,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 79% 674.08 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 89% 424.53 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 55% 5 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?No 98.7% 4,009.12 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No 89.1% 300 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No 85.8% 9.7 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?No 92% 215.13 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No 89.5% 12.1 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No 90% 940 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No 89.9% 1,804.39 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No 84.6% 1,917.67 shares