Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $9.4K
- Potential profit
- $7.55K
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.84K
Polymarket Trader
yes-yes-no
0xea910f1a5e7dbdc1548603216db821909824bea2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.61K
- Realized PnL
- $20.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $7.55K
- Potential payout
- $9.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $2.84K
No position
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Kevin Gausman strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 30.1%
- Current value
- $3.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will José Soriano strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Cam Schlittler strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $9.78
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $7.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $9.58
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $975.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $928.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $875.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $835.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $725
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $705.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $686.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $654.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $626.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $612.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $594.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 1?No 86% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 1?No 99.4% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C on July 1?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 1?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on July 1?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 1?No 62% 10 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No 99.2% 10 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No 98.3% 10 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No 99.6% 10 shares