No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.2
- Potential payout
- $14.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.2
Polymarket Trader
zbkaf
0xea9a748cf303f1e443a52c9215aeeef4071968ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.83
- Realized PnL
- $7.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $9.51
- Potential payout
- $11.96
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $8.12
- Potential payout
- $8.44
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $4.37
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $2.68
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.19
- Potential payout
- $6.19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.24
- Potential payout
- $5.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.88
- Potential profit
- $4.88
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $3.56
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.17
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.91
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
East Carolina position
East Carolina vs. Florida Atlantic
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound (BO1)
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
G2 Esports position
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.8% 8.44 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 92% 11.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?Yes 41% 4.88 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes 72% 4.17 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.4% 12.17 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 14.2 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.2% 3.6 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.2% 8.21 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 89% 3.37 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 99.7% 6.82 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 96.9% 6.19 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 70% 1.43 shares