Polymarket Trader

ManchisFamther

0xea9d378f584a2b9cb9952c96ff77f2a3fce0536a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.18
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.24
Potential payout: $582.35
Potential profit: $577.11
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$14.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $58.72
Potential profit: $56.79
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$0.06

Over position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Up 30% 16.67 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 10.2% 49.02 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 3.4% 58.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Down 1% 500 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 5% 200 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5

Over 38% 26.32 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5

Over 18% 55.56 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 1.5% 333.33 shares

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