Polymarket Trader

papaopa

@majcrypto

0xeaa230ec1ae1be0069091d33f60c0702b55458b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.25K
Realized PnL: $150.55
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $502.68

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$373

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $121.96
Potential payout: $121.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $21.96

Yes position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$60.4

Sevastova position

Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anastasija Sevastova vs Maya Joint

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.44
Potential profit: $11.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $6.58
User PnL: -$5

Alcaraz position

Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $6.1
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.23

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.73

Yes position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $14

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.76

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will Base launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Down position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Up position

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on December 12?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

No position

Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Up position

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Sinner position

Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Sinner position

Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Djokovic position

Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Alejandro Tabilo

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Diplo run the 5k in under 19 minutes?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Down position

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 11?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Up position

Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on December 15?

Up 99.9% 61.09 shares
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 12?

Down 99.9% 571.16 shares
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on December 12?

Down 99.9% 200.2 shares
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on December 12?

Down 99% 44.95 shares
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on December 12?

Up 98.9% 76.88 shares
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on December 12?

Up 98.9% 101.11 shares
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31?

Yes 82% 121.96 shares
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on December 11?

Up 99.9% 52.01 shares
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 11?

Down 99.9% 200.2 shares
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 11?

Down 99.9% 100.1 shares
Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on December 11?

Up 99.9% 200.2 shares
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on December 11?

Up 95.2% 42.02 shares