No position
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.7%
- Current value
- $41.04
- Potential payout
- $48.46
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Polymarket Trader
azsxnbnnnnn
0xeab1d14bab551b286532b55ef9e1444ca96d5298
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.71
- Realized PnL
- $100.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $16.58
- Potential payout
- $16.69
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $8.48
- Potential payout
- $9.38
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $7.55
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 4.72x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.18
Rockets position
Spurs vs. Rockets
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Senators position
Sharks vs. Senators
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.44
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Pelicans
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
Machac position
Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
France position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Over position
Canada vs. Qatar: Canada O/U 6.5 Corners
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Ursa position
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Valentin Vacherot position
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026No 95.2% 15.76 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026No 92.8% 16.16 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 64.9% 7.55 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026No 90.7% 16.54 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -2% and 0% in May?No 99.9% 15.02 shares
- Sonmez vs. Bejlek: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over 50% 12.74 shares
- Set Handicap: Sonmez (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)Sonmez 50% 5.76 shares
- Zeynep Sonmez vs. Sara Bejlek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 50% 2.94 shares
- Zeynep Sonmez vs. Sara Bejlek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 50% 2.68 shares
- Spread: France (-2.5)France 91% 10.69 shares
- Spread: France (-2.5)France 56% 10.7 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 92.2% 16.27 shares