Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332.74
- Potential profit
- $332.74
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Polymarket Trader
Nemech
0xeab60e0be5930f34d02e207b1e6f572d8e48914a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.58
- Realized PnL
- $677.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $238.1
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $10.58
- Potential payout
- $141.03
- Potential profit
- $130.45
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$44.42
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $119.05
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.57
No position
Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.82
Yes position
Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.67
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Yes position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.43
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
No position
Will Liverpool beat Nottingham Forest?
Ends Sep 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.7
Over position
Will there be 48 or more combined points scored?
Ends Sep 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.33
Yes position
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
No position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during the X space?
Ends Sep 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.35
Yes position
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8
No position
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 39% 141.03 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.1% 135.58 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.4% 169.18 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 96.2% 207.9 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 57% 170 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 92% 108.7 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 1.1% 272.73 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No 88% 170.45 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 2% 60 shares
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No 99.9% 56.68 shares
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No 88.2% 56.69 shares
- Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No 85.5% 116.96 shares