VonVonagh

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Hope for Democracy (ELPIDA) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?

Ends Jul 25, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.68
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Chappell Roan be the top artist in the US for 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.91
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Auyl win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.94
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will QHP win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Credible FDV above $30M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Beyoncé be the top artist in the US for 2026?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.58
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Marcus Rashford join Bayern Munich?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.8
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.97
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 225M by August 31?

Ends Sep 8, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.69
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Aq Jol win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.91
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.4
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will The Weeknd be the top artist in the US for 2026?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist in the US for 2026?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.68
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Baytaq win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.92
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.82
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Respublica win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.97
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.9
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 16.6%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.35
Multiplier: 6.04x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Greek Solution (EL) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?

Ends Jul 25, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.84
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $9.45
Potential profit: $8.84
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will JSDP win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?

Implied probability: 31%
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will David Wilkins replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will John Healey be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?

Implied probability: 11.7%
Multiplier: 8.58x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Clavicular visit Thailand in 2026?

Implied probability: 9.6%
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Anneliese Midgley be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Implied probability: 32.6%
Multiplier: 3.07x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Maria Karystianou be the next Prime Minister of Greece?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Ralph Norman replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Greek Left Alliance (ELAS) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?

Ends Jul 25, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will no one replace Graham as South Carolina Senator by the midterms?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Stefanos Kasselakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.9%
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will William Timmons replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Paul Dans replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Mark Lynch replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will André Bauer replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Bob Peeler replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?