Yes position
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
EpicFury
0xeacf6268112f4ef50de045c0778426ca20183c55
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106.56
- Realized PnL
- $1.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$19.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$12.55
No position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$10.19
Yes position
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $491
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$24.3
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $408.6
- Potential profit
- $408.6
- User PnL
- -$19.06
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $22
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $378
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $369.99
- Potential profit
- $369.99
- User PnL
- -$20.35
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360.02
- Potential profit
- $360.02
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $300.01
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $10.46
- Potential payout
- $271.79
- Potential profit
- $261.33
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$7.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.84
- Potential profit
- $225.84
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $199.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.7
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $54
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $146
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$24.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.99
- Potential profit
- $139.99
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $102
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.05
Yes position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.99
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.14
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.5
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.35
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 400 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 71.2% 117.26 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 73.8% 17.26 shares
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?Yes 2.3% 500 shares
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Yes 1.3% 42 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?Yes 22% 100 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 200 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 21% 200 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 8.6% 83.41 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes 1.1% 50 shares