Polymarket Trader

elkmonkey

0xead152b855effa6b5b5837f53b24c0756830c76a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.73K
Realized PnL: $3.85M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.36K
Potential payout: $17.23K
Potential profit: $13.87K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $800.01

No position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $14.05K
Potential payout: $14.43K
Potential profit: $375.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $205.52

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $6.81K
Potential payout: $12.06K
Potential profit: $5.25K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $809.55
Potential payout: $10.79K
Potential profit: $9.98K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$285.57

Yes position

Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $9.89K
Potential profit: $8.31K
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $762.44

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.25K
Potential payout: $9.29K
Potential profit: $4.04K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $881.96

No position

Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $5.46K
Potential payout: $6.02K
Potential profit: $563.15
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$289

No position

Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $5.21K
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: $136.33

No position

Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $113.02
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$29.81

Yes position

Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $413.6
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $31.82

Yes position

Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $14.69
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$46.16

Yes position

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $133.73
Potential payout: $622
Potential profit: $488.27
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$3.11

Yes position

Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.84
Potential payout: $467.27
Potential profit: $461.43
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $98.36
Potential payout: $345.26
Potential profit: $246.9
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $189.41
Potential payout: $318.34
Potential profit: $128.93
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $7.96

Yes position

Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $10.88
Potential payout: $298
Potential profit: $287.12
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$5.51

Yes position

Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $69.06
Potential profit: $67.71
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $55.03
Potential profit: $52.69
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.86
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.93K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.1K

Nebraska Cornhuskers position

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.87K

Cowboys position

Chiefs vs. Cowboys

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.64K

Nets position

Nets vs. Pistons

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.88K

Bengals position

Bengals vs. Ravens

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.41K

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.7K

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.56K

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.17K

Bills position

Bills vs. Steelers

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.28K

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.54K

Saint Louis Billikens position

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.52K

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.14K

49ers position

Spread: Eagles (-6.5)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.54K

Miami (OH) RedHawks position

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $126.36K

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.44K

Houston Astros position

Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.96K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.8K

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.34K

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.06K

Michigan State Spartans position

Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.36K

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.18K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.82K

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.66K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

No 98.5% 762 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

No 98.6% 5,228 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 42% 20,480.98 shares
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 34% 51,525.57 shares
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 93.3% 782.92 shares
Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Raptors 40.3% 11,724 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 2.8% 53,282.79 shares
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 3.8% 3,621.2 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 4.2% 20,573.02 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 3.1% 10,878 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 3% 17,729 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 3.4% 15,555.34 shares