Polymarket Trader

thebettttorrrr

0xeade2070d7072bfefa1792add9f49fb74fce8632

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $180.9
Realized PnL: $185.41
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$196

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $116.18
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $177.94
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $16.18

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $30.56
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $247.22
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$19.44

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $34.17
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $132.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $9.17

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $163.93
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Oregon position

Spread: Oregon (-7.5)

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.12
Potential profit: $99.12
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.6
Potential profit: $81.6
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Bears position

Rams vs. Bears

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.05

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.21

Yes position

Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.05

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.43

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.66

Yes position

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$98.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Yes 15% 166.67 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Yes 34% 294.12 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Yes 18% 277.78 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Yes 24.5% 81.6 shares
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Yes 21% 119.05 shares
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 38.4% 130.21 shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 51% 108.69 shares
Rams vs. Bears

Bears 36% 55.56 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 6.1% 163.93 shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 23% 108.7 shares
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Yes 42% 119.05 shares