Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $8.51
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$157.33
Polymarket Trader
0xEaDe74c3ED8524027cACDe41D6f527CE298eF26D-1769690413356
0xeade74c3ed8524027cacde41d6f527ce298ef26d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $600.97
- Realized PnL
- $9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $451.8
- Potential payout
- $951.16
- Potential profit
- $499.36
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$164.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $711.52
- Potential profit
- $711.52
- User PnL
- -$458.92
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.89
- Potential profit
- $255.89
- User PnL
- -$125.22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.96
- Potential profit
- $240.96
- User PnL
- -$200
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.86
- Potential profit
- $164.86
- User PnL
- -$129.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $123.57
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $19.29
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$6.43
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $17.09
- Potential payout
- $141.24
- Potential profit
- $124.15
- Multiplier
- 8.26x
- User PnL
- -$32.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.82
- Potential profit
- $116.82
- User PnL
- -$112
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.42
- Potential profit
- $93.42
- User PnL
- -$38.3
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.74
- Potential profit
- $82.74
- User PnL
- -$50.82
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$19.72
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.73
- Potential profit
- $30.73
- User PnL
- -$19.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.4
- Potential profit
- $26.4
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.3
- Potential profit
- $19.3
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.99
- Potential profit
- $16.99
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.74
- Potential profit
- $14.74
- User PnL
- -$9.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.13
- Potential profit
- $14.13
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.13
- Potential profit
- $14.13
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.4
- Potential profit
- $12.4
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.25
- Potential profit
- $10.25
- User PnL
- -$5.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.06
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $776.03
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $686.27
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.35
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.42
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $245.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.81
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.96
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.7
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 56% 419.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 75% 274.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.5% 207.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 142.86 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 87% 149.42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 33% 6.06 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96% 5.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96% 104.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 72% 138.89 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 99.9% 207.25 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94% 7.45 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 35.4% 141.24 shares