Polymarket Trader

mblackbuster

0xeaf8ab75543fd298ae3cc9bd1a31ef4db0239aba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $159.36
Realized PnL: $162.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $19.75
Potential payout: $179.56
Potential profit: $159.81
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$25.25

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $13.57
Potential payout: $115.49
Potential profit: $101.92
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$6.43

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $106.38
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $20.9
Potential payout: $105.83
Potential profit: $84.93
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $15.47
Potential payout: $76.79
Potential profit: $61.32
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: -$4.53

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $35.34
Potential payout: $39.49
Potential profit: $4.15
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$20

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $19.43
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $3.56
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $18.89
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $2.16
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

25% Japan tariff in effect by August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$10

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $16.5
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Biden pardon Fauci?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $12.66
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $75.6

Hurricanes position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.42

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

Yes position

35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

No position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Biden pardon SBF?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Biden pardon Julian Assange?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Biden pardon Hillary?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Biden pardon Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.4% 106.38 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

No 95% 21.05 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91% 21.98 shares
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Hurricanes 19% 52.63 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Yes 27% 100 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.9% 40.16 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.7% 53.48 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.2% 61.73 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 94% 14.28 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 90.9% 16.5 shares