Polymarket Trader

mapleharbor7

0xeaf953ca8b7760f71feff6455fec6653d9614fe3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $123.54
Realized PnL: $22.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $129.17
Potential profit: $123.42
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $6.51
Potential payout: $118.36
Potential profit: $111.85
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $9.58
Potential payout: $85.5
Potential profit: $75.92
Multiplier: 8.93x
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 8.7%
Current value: $7.26
Potential payout: $83.59
Potential profit: $76.33
Multiplier: 11.51x
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $79.88
Potential profit: $78.92
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$5.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $7.83
Potential payout: $74.54
Potential profit: $66.71
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $60.5
Potential profit: $54.75
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $7.32
Potential payout: $58.56
Potential profit: $51.24
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.58
Potential profit: $56.58
User PnL: -$2.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.42
Potential payout: $53.75
Potential profit: $51.33
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $15.64
Potential payout: $51.27
Potential profit: $35.63
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.07
Potential profit: $47.07
User PnL: -$5.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $33
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.47
Potential profit: $39.47
User PnL: -$5.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $6.36
Potential payout: $37.4
Potential profit: $31.04
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $36.72
Potential profit: $35.13
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $9.03
Potential payout: $36.13
Potential profit: $27.09
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 27.8%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $35.28
Potential profit: $25.49
Multiplier: 3.60x
User PnL: $4.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.24
Potential profit: $35.24
User PnL: -$5.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $10.96
Potential payout: $31.76
Potential profit: $20.81
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $5.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.67
Potential profit: $31.67
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $29.26
Potential profit: $27.36
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$5.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $22.92
Potential profit: $15.01
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $2.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 8?

Yes 5% 27.6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 7?

Yes 4.8% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?

No 72% 6.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?

No 56% 9.32 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 7?

No 76% 6.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 8?

Yes 78% 6.08 shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 7?

No 74% 6.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 7?

No 75% 6.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 7?

No 80% 6.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 7?

Yes 35.6% 14.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 7?

Yes 40% 12.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 7?

No 70% 7.1 shares