Polymarket Trader

WhiteRiceHoldCo

@beanoption

0xeb035066e10df642b616e3d38723727b9eed5d15

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.24K
Realized PnL: $2.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.96
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$15.55

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $992.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $48.75
Potential payout: $749.97
Potential profit: $701.22
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$24.75

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $47.79
Potential payout: $735.3
Potential profit: $687.51
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$17.71

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $127.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $372.5
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $183.85
Potential payout: $404.07
Potential profit: $220.22
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$12.14

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $46
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $354
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $96.8
Potential payout: $352
Potential profit: $255.2
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $261
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $283.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $19
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $181
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $68
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $132
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $101.43
Potential payout: $179.56
Potential profit: $78.13
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $7.88

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $47.13
Potential payout: $162.52
Potential profit: $115.39
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $16.17
Potential payout: $119.37
Potential profit: $103.2
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: -$2.73

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $52.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $47.5
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $66.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $33.5
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $62.5
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $71.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $85.49
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $60.98
Potential payout: $99.97
Potential profit: $38.99
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $39.99
Potential payout: $99.97
Potential profit: $59.98
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $7.47
Potential payout: $64.99
Potential profit: $57.52
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $845.22

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $207.76

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.13

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.99

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.08

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.23

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.16

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.83

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.09

Yes position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.28

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.36

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.1

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.63

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.91

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.24

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.18

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.8

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.7

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.65

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $28.65

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 24% 100 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Yes 22% 6.41 shares
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

No 39% 20 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Yes 25% 200 shares
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

No 39% 40 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 12% 29.99 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 12% 35 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 50 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21% 162.52 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 50% 120 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 47% 15 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 46% 5 shares