No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $71.95
- Potential payout
- $73.79
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Polymarket Trader
UPBM
0xeb0f4119c6e1122e5a2e932aa81df6f639405034
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $179.85
- Realized PnL
- $493.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $51.29
- Potential payout
- $51.44
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.76
- Potential payout
- $15.77
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.21
- Potential payout
- $14.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.74
- Potential payout
- $12.75
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $8.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.44
Columbus Crew position
Spread: New England Revolution (-2.5)
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.92
SC Recife position
Spread: SC Recife (-2.5)
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.64
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Atlético Nacional position
Spread: Atlético Nacional (-1.5)
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.5
Yes position
Will AD Cali win on 2026-03-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.64
Vanderbilt Commodores position
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.2
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Wisconsin Badgers position
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.23
Over position
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.79
Over position
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Yes position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.31
No position
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.68
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.19
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.59
No position
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
Senators position
Sharks vs. Senators
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
76ers position
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Raptors position
Pistons vs. Raptors
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Under position
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Down position
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Up position
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- XRP Up or Down - April 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp 69% 10.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 46°F or higher on April 7?Yes 2% 45.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or higher on April 7?Yes 53% 1.8 shares
- Spread: SC Recife (-2.5)SC Recife 94.6% 2.64 shares
- Spread: New England Revolution (-2.5)Columbus Crew 51% 3.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 26?No 89.6% 7.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 26?No 99.4% 6.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on March 25?Yes 95% 1.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on March 26?Yes 4.5% 97.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 58°F or higher on March 25?Yes 99.8% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on March 25?No 93.1% 1.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on March 25?No 94.1% 1.64 shares