Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.85
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Polymarket Trader
IMHO
@mxtu282
0xeb175ba5a76409c5d371f995a1ff50d31a6b5d7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.54
- Realized PnL
- $1.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.86
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $7.64
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $6.66
- Potential profit
- $6.23
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $509.31
No position
Will Solana reach $220 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.92
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.35
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.89
No position
Ethereum above $4400 on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.28
Yes position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.9
No position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.9
No position
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.85
Yes position
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.68
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.12
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.85
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.63
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.4
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.52
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.05
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.02
No position
Bitcoin all time high before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.16
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.49
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 87.9% 4.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 75.1% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 15% 10 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 84.3% 9.99 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?Yes 70% 20 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 20% 10 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 21% 20 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?Yes 69% 20 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 8?No 97% 50 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 72% 5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 97.4% 34.81 shares