Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.17K
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $119.51
Polymarket Trader
spark1
0xeb214d487c4f531ef7a3398631d56d3de5e08145
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.62K
- Realized PnL
- $1.29M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $755
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$305
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $413
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$297
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $102.06
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $102.06
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $925
- Potential profit
- $925
- User PnL
- -$707.25
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $749.35
- Potential profit
- $749.35
- User PnL
- -$359.69
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.97
- Potential profit
- $716.97
- User PnL
- -$340.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$35
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$52
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $59.98
- Potential payout
- $63.3
- Potential profit
- $3.32
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $23.86
- Potential payout
- $47.72
- Potential profit
- $23.86
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.97
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02M
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.13K
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.35K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.88K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.12K
Bengals position
Bengals vs. Cowboys
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13K
No position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.39K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.87K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.36K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96000 and $98000 on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.56K
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3K
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $99000 and $101000 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Yes position
Yoon arrested by Friday?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 1,200.72 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 94.5% 2,172.87 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 93.9% 63.3 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel 70.9% 23.01 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Down 86% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No 0.2% 400 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.2% 723.66 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 78% 100 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No 98.3% 1,014.14 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 35% 1,000 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 52% 1,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No 91% 500 shares