Polymarket Trader

BigRabbit

@BigRabbit_poly

0xeb22f4735df6bd5d14e1b5fd10faefa7757d808a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.47K
Realized PnL: $238.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.75K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $14.99K
Potential payout: $94.55K
Potential profit: $79.56K
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: $1.87K

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $18.66
Potential payout: $37.32K
Potential profit: $37.3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$45.53

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.1%
Current value: $8.35K
Potential payout: $34.71K
Potential profit: $26.37K
Multiplier: 4.16x
User PnL: -$23.78

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $15.82
Potential payout: $31.64K
Potential profit: $31.63K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.77

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $15.32
Potential payout: $30.65K
Potential profit: $30.63K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$115.97

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $4.05K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $25.95K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.56K

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.51
Potential payout: $23.02K
Potential profit: $23.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.52

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $601.04
Potential payout: $21.09K
Potential profit: $20.49K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $10.54

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $290
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.71K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$3.7K

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $9.17
Potential payout: $18.33K
Potential profit: $18.33K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.17

Yes position

JD Vance out as VP by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $17.96K
Potential profit: $16.44K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$86.42

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $17.05
Potential payout: $17.05K
Potential profit: $17.04K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$100.73

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.74
Potential payout: $15.49K
Potential profit: $15.48K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.12

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $4.41K
Potential payout: $15.22K
Potential profit: $10.81K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$816.88

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $11.77K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.22K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$334.52

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $4.89K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $6.1K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $49.08

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $935
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.06K
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$362.54

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $74.91
Potential payout: $9.99K
Potential profit: $9.91K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$952.17

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $5.06K
Potential payout: $8.1K
Potential profit: $3.04K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $749.23

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $60.56
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $43.41

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $98
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.4K
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$1.15K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.46K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.24K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.24K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.08K

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.97K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.66K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.82K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.65K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.9K

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $9.25K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.74K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29K

Yes position

Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.21K

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.18K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $6.21K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17K

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98K

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69K

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.05K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98K

Yes position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 1,047.15 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 99.1% 20,000.04 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 99.5% 13,284.44 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 9.8% 7,930 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 100,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 73% 977.99 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 41.7% 5,151.17 shares
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 89.7% 1,000 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 26% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 40% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 38.5% 425.2 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 10% 166.33 shares