No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
kosmos1984
0xeb423a034aacff1c767cfc1003b0e9c5cd1a2fe4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $197.8
- Realized PnL
- $611.43
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.99
- Potential profit
- $333.99
- User PnL
- -$10.02
Yes position
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.9
- Potential profit
- $298.9
- User PnL
- -$89.67
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.9
- Potential profit
- $200.9
- User PnL
- -$98.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.31
- Potential profit
- $190.31
- User PnL
- -$98.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.77
- Potential profit
- $187.77
- User PnL
- -$98.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $150.01
- Potential payout
- $150.08
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $50
Chelsea FC position
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.78
- Potential profit
- $93.78
- User PnL
- -$68.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.16
- Potential profit
- $83.16
- User PnL
- -$43.24
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82
- Potential profit
- $82
- User PnL
- -$53.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.63
- Potential profit
- $74.63
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.75
- Potential profit
- $62.75
- User PnL
- -$11.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Under position
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $47.79
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $6.21
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.3
- Potential profit
- $40.3
- User PnL
- -$27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.52
- Potential profit
- $39.52
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.25
- Potential profit
- $37.25
- User PnL
- -$19
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 3AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.16
- Potential profit
- $37.16
- User PnL
- -$21.54
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 5AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.41
- Potential profit
- $27.41
- User PnL
- -$20.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.79
- Potential profit
- $22.79
- User PnL
- -$11.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.96
- Potential profit
- $21.96
- User PnL
- -$16.69
No position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.79
- Potential profit
- $21.79
- User PnL
- -$8
Down position
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 1AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.27
- Potential profit
- $19.27
- User PnL
- -$12.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.01
- Potential profit
- $14.01
- User PnL
- -$7.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.94
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.81
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.67
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.3
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 5PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.43
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.57
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 6AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.45
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.64
Rafael Jodar position
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under 89% 54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?Up 66.6% 150.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETDown 69% 176.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETDown 43.6% 223.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?Up 68% 152.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?Up 64% 152.86 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on June 30?No 77% 97.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown 52% 7.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown 54% 18.31 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Yes 2.6% 399.54 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Yes 4.9% 399.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETUp 57% 7.02 shares