Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.1%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $12.44
- Multiplier
- 5.87x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Polymarket Trader
0xeb49...643c
0xeb494230a49968e3d535799db4edbcee76e5643c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $13.52
- Realized PnL
- $120.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.8%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.09
- Multiplier
- 7.84x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.34
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.99
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.67
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $3.14
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $2.79
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?Yes 91.8% 4.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 4?No 38% 2.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?Yes 16% 6.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 3?Yes 49% 2.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?Yes 45% 2.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?Yes 62% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?Yes 39% 2.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?Yes 38% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?Yes 34% 5 shares
- Spread: England (-1.5)England 17% 6.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 1?Yes 19.8% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 1?No 33% 2.86 shares