No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $233.75
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $316.25
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$41.25
Polymarket Trader
Santiago6792-
0xeb4ea423fe44a0d2582a8cd4175d9da35e3af82c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $550
- Realized PnL
- $247.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $316.25
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $233.75
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $41.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 25?No 99.5% 9.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 25?No 99.8% 9.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on June 25?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 25?No 99.9% 10.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on June 25?No 99.9% 9.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on June 25?No 99.8% 9.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 24?No 98.9% 9.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on June 25?No 99.9% 9.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 18?No 99.9% 9.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 18?No 99.9% 9.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on June 18?No 99.9% 9.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?No 99.9% 9.51 shares