No position
Will England win?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $30.44
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Polymarket Trader
gringoferri
0xeb5497ffc3920c03328fab8b7d3f620e3c7957d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.68
- Realized PnL
- $30.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $13.27
- Potential payout
- $14.04
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $14.03
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.11
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.02
- Potential profit
- $5.02
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Down position
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
N
No position
Paraguay leading at halftime?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win?No 97% 5 shares
- Will England win?No 97% 11 shares
- Will England win?No 96% 15 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 12?Yes 98.8% 13.03 shares
- Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?No 98.8% 14.03 shares
- Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?Yes 95.3% 14.1 shares
- Will PH win the 2026 Johor general elections?No 96.4% 14.09 shares
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo 96.7% 14.04 shares
- Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?No 97.5% 14 shares
- Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?No 98% 14 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Yes 99% 14 shares
- Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?No 95.7% 14.07 shares