Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $381.83
- Potential payout
- $5.35K
- Potential profit
- $4.97K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $177.36
Polymarket Trader
ReinforcementLearning
0xeb58e26e51169b71d00f3beface74ffe1ddd6fa5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.42K
- Realized PnL
- $4.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $2.17K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.83K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$124.96
Yes position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $962.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $32.5
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $507.28
- Potential payout
- $530.91
- Potential profit
- $23.63
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $24.16
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $11.37
- Potential payout
- $349.74
- Potential profit
- $338.37
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$66.94
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $254.99
- Potential profit
- $253.08
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$61.07
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $185.5
- Potential payout
- $245.7
- Potential profit
- $60.2
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $35.63
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $127.79
- Potential payout
- $185.23
- Potential profit
- $57.44
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$7.43
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.47
- Potential profit
- $182.47
- User PnL
- -$15.01
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $58.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $41.5
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $5.46
- Potential payout
- $84
- Potential profit
- $78.54
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$19.49
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $33.8
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.03
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.31
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.5
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.99
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.05
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.84
Yes position
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.93
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.08
No position
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.81
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.2
49ers position
49ers vs. Eagles
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.07
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.48
Yes position
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.43
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.7
No position
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.84
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $87.66
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.43
Yes position
Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.2
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.44
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.4
Steelers position
Ravens vs. Steelers
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 57% 307.7 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 91% 530.91 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 99.8% 394.63 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?No 8.2% 182.47 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?No 99.9% 46.83 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?No 50% 95.86 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?No 99.9% 46.82 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?No 35% 93.65 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 95.9% 35 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 22.4% 15.15 shares