Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Polymarket Trader
lakecrocodile
0xeb67934f533870bdad2bdf67084d8aa98365322f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.88
- Realized PnL
- $33.11
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.95
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.86
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23.63
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23.86
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.95
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.93
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.49
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.86
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.97
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.94
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.88
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.97
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $11.7
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $13.5
- Potential profit
- $13.48
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $13.5
- Potential profit
- $13.48
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $13.5
- Potential profit
- $13.48
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $13.5
- Potential profit
- $13.49
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $13.5
- Potential profit
- $10.67
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $13.5
- Potential profit
- $13.49
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $13.5
- Potential profit
- $13.49
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $13.5
- Potential profit
- $13.49
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.07x
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $3.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Polymarket update