No position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.54K
- Potential profit
- $32.54K
- User PnL
- -$3.03K
Polymarket Trader
87867564576879
0xeb6f0a13ea8c5a7a0514c25495adbe815c1025f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58.1K
- Realized PnL
- $114.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Steven Fulop win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.02K
- Potential profit
- $26.02K
- User PnL
- -$44.23
Yes position
Will Josh Gottheimer win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.02K
- Potential profit
- $26.02K
- User PnL
- -$44.23
Yes position
Will Justin Barbera win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.02K
- Potential profit
- $26.02K
- User PnL
- -$44.23
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $14.84K
- Potential payout
- $17.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $631.52
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $6.8K
- Potential payout
- $10.22K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $255.55
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $8.88K
- Potential payout
- $9.02K
- Potential profit
- $139.82
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $5.94K
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.63K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $375
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $4.97K
- Potential profit
- $3.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$684.49
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $3.76K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $742.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$67.5
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$13.6
Yes position
Will Kel'el Ware win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- User PnL
- -$48.16
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- $53.75
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $2.31K
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $147.15
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $27.75
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $16.19
Yes position
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- -$189.74
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $490.15
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $10.43
Yes position
Will Kyle Filipowski win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- User PnL
- -$32.37
Yes position
Will Jay Huff win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$29.49
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $831.66
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $640.57
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$22.23
Yes position
Will Matas Buzelis win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$21.02
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $679.5
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $342.3
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $158.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.99K
No position
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5K
No position
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36K
Yes position
2024 July hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96K
Y
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85K
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5K
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.81K
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
No position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
No position
Will a Democrat win Alaska Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $2.5K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 64% 10,221.93 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 86% 4,058.69 shares
- Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No 94% 2,452.42 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 85% 4,500 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 73.6% 1,896.12 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 98.1% 2,312.47 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 69.9% 666.59 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 87% 13.22 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 58% 1,472.23 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 70.9% 51.61 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 10 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 88.5% 5.91 shares