Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.96K
- Potential profit
- $8.96K
- User PnL
- -$584.13
Polymarket Trader
dry-september
0xeb77593d1187a2d01c22fb24567b21cddd214e6b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $690.04
- Realized PnL
- $18.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.23K
- Potential profit
- $4.23K
- User PnL
- -$542.11
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $627.32
- Potential payout
- $627.63
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- $155.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.71
- Potential profit
- $138.71
- User PnL
- -$46.15
No position
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $61
- Potential payout
- $127.08
- Potential profit
- $66.08
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $6.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$36.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$31.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$36.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$32.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Yes position
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $937.15
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $827.37
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $759.93
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $650.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.28
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $539.65
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $404.9
Tampa Bay Rays position
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.22
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.39
Seattle Mariners position
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.79
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.11
Seattle Mariners position
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.57
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $214.98
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $186.33
Over position
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.15
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?Yes 75.3% 622.52 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?Yes 63.6% 5.11 shares
- Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?Yes 41.8% 39.86 shares
- Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?Yes 38.7% 28.33 shares
- Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?No 43.1% 127.08 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 7% 408.71 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes 2.2% 52.5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 15% 12.14 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 22% 252.85 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes 6.5% 11,909.49 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 23.1% 862.64 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Yes 17.6% 2,225.5 shares