Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $15.5K
- Potential profit
- $13.64K
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.51K
Polymarket Trader
staflos
0xeb7acdfb1d4b0eaefa7a336a6b4ee6b47242c291
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.28K
- Realized PnL
- $6.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $121.7
- Potential payout
- $728.73
- Potential profit
- $607.03
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$51.69
Yes position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $296.77
- Potential payout
- $587.67
- Potential profit
- $290.9
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $44.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33K
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.65
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.34
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.67
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.1
No position
Will Orbán flip Magyar for Next Hungary PM by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.06
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.12
No position
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.13
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.84
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.71
No position
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.47
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.26
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.71
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.12
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
Yes position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
No position
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 21.9% 136.25 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 67% 163.87 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 66% 79 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 65% 65 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 64% 19.87 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 24% 228.74 shares
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes 43% 587.67 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 25.9% 271.4 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 26% 837.65 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 25% 15 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 25% 304 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes 25% 299 shares