No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $964.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $35.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $464.5
Polymarket Trader
ranks001
0xeb813f3bf7a31e59a48e31eb2c801dbc2022423a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.69K
- Realized PnL
- $184.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $35.4
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $964.6
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$464.6
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $688.2
- Potential payout
- $744
- Potential profit
- $55.8
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $62.12
Yes position
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.09
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Andrew Puzder as the next United States Labor Secretary
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.42
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.02
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.14
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Solana dip to $100 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?No 60% 200 shares
- Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 1,311 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 15% 58.83 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 10% 252.89 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 15% 1,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 15% 468.75 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 15% 1,349.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 11% 1,200 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Yes 8% 200 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Yes 8% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 13% 500 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?Yes 13% 1,100 shares