Polymarket Trader

brk2016

0xeb897d79dcc91f921bd1a9aa7d5e45a2481f9469

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $980.22
Realized PnL: $2.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $5.15K
User PnL: -$191.13

Yes position

Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $567
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $133
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $49

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $223.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $34.5

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$41

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $176.53
Potential payout: $186.8
Potential profit: $10.27
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $50.4

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $93.75
User PnL: -$15

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.85
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $9.36
Potential profit: $3.51
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.46

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.25

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.5

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $120.48

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.82

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.6

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.87

No position

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.54

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.02

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.2

No position

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.28

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 29?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.2

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.32

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.09

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.99

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.21

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 23?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.98

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.99

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.46

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $54.33

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 1, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.63

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.45

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?

No 63% 202 shares
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 0.5% 261.52 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 47% 200 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

No 31% 299.98 shares
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

No 92% 12.41 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 64% 200 shares
Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

No 99.1% 78.15 shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 8.5% 124.93 shares
Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

No 95% 78.16 shares
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?

No 99.5% 74.63 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?

No 81% 99.99 shares
Netanyahu out by April 30?

No 98.7% 527.77 shares