Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.79
Polymarket Trader
luminousvortex
0xeb8b1af32410ce1ad097e1f5d6367e0cc19dd9a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $36.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Eagles position
Will the Eagles lead the Chiefs after the third quarter of Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.97
No position
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.79
Eagles position
Will the Eagles lead the Chiefs after the third quarter of Super Bowl LIX?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.97
No position
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Trump increase tariffs on China by Friday?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Diddy guilty of all charges?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Duke beat UNC by 3 or more points?
Ends Sep 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bobby Portis win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 2.44 shares
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.4% 6.36 shares
- Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 8.5 shares
- Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.3% 8.97 shares
- Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No 99.9% 10.13 shares
- Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.1% 12.23 shares
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 2.45 shares
- Will Alibaba have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?No 99.8% 7.25 shares
- Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No 90.8% 9.27 shares
- Will Tesla reach $608 in January?No 99.5% 1.21 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 97.2% 1.43 shares
- Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?No 93% 2.95 shares