Polymarket Trader

2sigma

0xeba3a573cd7f25c01ce839883f64edaf7cda1774

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $304.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.96
Potential profit: $201.96
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.02
Potential profit: $115.02
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $19.05
User PnL: -$10

fnatic position

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $2.29
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.21

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

No position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

No position

US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 80.4% 31.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 69.9% 35.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Down 92% 27.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Up 3% 166.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Up 96% 26.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Up 94% 26.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Down 99% 25.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Down 97% 25.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Up 40% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Up 67% 7.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 97% 25.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Down 99% 5.05 shares