Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.07K
- Potential payout
- $15.36K
- Potential profit
- $13.28K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.78K
Polymarket Trader
oswiu
0xebadef53e65c8c9ffafa5216b6ff40b9d85900ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.14K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.18K
- Win rate
- 38.1%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $64.22
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $3.83K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$35.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.38
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.2
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.9
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $179.75
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $161.6
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.84
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$36.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.44
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$106.35
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$109.64
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$156.26
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$217.33
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$290.74
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$400.38
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$496.68
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$754.47
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 2.6% 1,641.98 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 13% 630 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 2.6% 700 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?Yes 0.1% 12,500 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16% 6,238 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?Yes 1% 13 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?Yes 1% 10,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 1.5% 4,163.31 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 1.6% 4,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 3.4% 90 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 3.4% 2,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 3.6% 1,046.82 shares