Polymarket Trader

chickengambler

0xebc05b45ba24e782fca2ef613096c75feb275aaf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.21K
Realized PnL: $14.24K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $4.57K
Potential payout: $7.09K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$89.69

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $5.36K
User PnL: -$500

$1,000 position

Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $2.83K
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $2.32K
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$47.11

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $2.45K
Potential payout: $5.06K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $329

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.52K
Potential profit: $4.52K
User PnL: -$931.56

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.91K
User PnL: -$20.22

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.79K
Potential profit: $3.79K
User PnL: -$1.14K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $3.44K
User PnL: -$225.29

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.69K
User PnL: -$47.87

Yes position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $879.86
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $100.12

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $67.39
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$32.61

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $310
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$470

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$455.97

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,100 January 26-1?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$178.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $221.73
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $246.61

90k position

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$596.8

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.46K
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $131.55

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $189.91
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$124.43

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$795.22

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 5?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $153.95

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$71.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.82K

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $774.4

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.66

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.35

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.15

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.8

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.19

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.87

$2k position

Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

No position

Eric Adams arrested by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5PM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will Ethena reach $0.36 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$29.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

No 86.4% 1,134.15 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 54% 499.99 shares
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 67.8% 3,268.79 shares
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?

$1,000 55.9% 5,145.99 shares
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 64% 3,821.17 shares
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Yes 38% 1,694.05 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 42% 5,061.53 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

No 14% 1,048.29 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Yes 86% 200 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Yes 86% 690.05 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Yes 87% 27.39 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Yes 87% 60 shares