Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $843.61
- Potential payout
- $921.98
- Potential profit
- $78.37
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $159.76
Polymarket Trader
apedignio
0xebc1917c344331626a47469ba11c069672222f40
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.51K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.7K
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $643.87
- Potential profit
- $643.87
- User PnL
- -$186.8
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $455.1
- Potential payout
- $455.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $90.1
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $216.13
- Potential payout
- $216.24
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $15.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.37
Yes position
Will Galatasaray win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.26
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$23.75
No position
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.84K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Yes 81% 80.25 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Yes 80% 374.85 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes 75% 336 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes 75% 42.47 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes 74.9% 267.09 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Yes 72.4% 276.42 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 92.8% 1.08 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 93% 215.16 shares
- Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes 23% 160 shares
- Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes 31% 483.87 shares
- Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?No 5% 897.64 shares
- Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?No 59.8% 100.35 shares