Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $146.69
- Potential payout
- $167.64
- Potential profit
- $20.95
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $12.67
Polymarket Trader
polIRL
0xebca448aa8de10836e0b70b29fbd6de7ce3dda8b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $263.32
- Realized PnL
- $122.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $6.28
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.73
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $2.83
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.18
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $5.46
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $34.54
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $20.1
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$6.7
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.65
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.57
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Y
Yes position
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Y
Yes position
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $9.23
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $5.78
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.05
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9
N
No position
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $7.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Tunisia finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Y
Yes position
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Y
Yes position
Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Y
Yes position
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $8.94
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- -$7.11
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $6.49
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $4.02
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ron & Lacy win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.93
No position
Will Jynxzi & Joe Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.58
Yes position
Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.41
No position
Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will Arky & Yugi2x win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.37
No position
Will Ludwig & MoistCr1TiKaL win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
No position
Will Cinna & jasontheween win Joe_Bartolozzi's GeoGuessr Duos?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Sketch & Ryley Bart win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will MrBeast say "Challenge" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 5, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-02-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 30?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 75% 5 shares
- Will Nick Woltemade score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35% 5 shares
- Will Florian Wirtz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 70% 5 shares
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 7.4% 14.99 shares
- Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 66% 10 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 5 shares
- Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88% 5 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 50 shares
- Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 79% 5 shares
- Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 62% 15 shares
- Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 55% 5 shares