Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $8.82
- Potential profit
- $4.54
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Polymarket Trader
flaresun
0xebcc4ce33dada70d195fa3aa5aaa0276bf49108f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.09
- Realized PnL
- $8
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $2.87
- Potential payout
- $8.57
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $4.85
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?Yes 34% 8.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?Yes 92.1% 5.98 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 41.2% 4.85 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-18?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?Yes 16.7% 5.99 shares
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group CBilibili Gaming 54% 1.85 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Yes 35% 8.57 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 64.3% 2.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?Yes 99.8% 2.85 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?No 33% 3.03 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?9.3% 20.54 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Yes 22.2% 4.09 shares