Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0xEBcC928c9d2Ef2AC28939e5bd2Bb9EF1752D2B3a-1772728061125
0xebcc928c9d2ef2ac28939e5bd2bb9ef1752d2b3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.8
- Realized PnL
- $11.19
- Win rate
- 87%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.54
- Potential profit
- $15.54
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.98
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.31
- Potential profit
- $8.31
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.16
- Potential profit
- $6.16
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.73
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.31
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.64
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39
- Potential profit
- $3.39
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.99
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.74
- Potential profit
- $2.74
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.09
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.2% 1,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.4% 23,003.52 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.3% 13,963.33 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.4% 1,025 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.5% 8,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 40% 3.08 shares
- Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?No 37% 4.73 shares
- Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Yes 81% 1.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETUp 41% 2.34 shares