Yes position
Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Polymarket Trader
0xebce...5be6
0xebced56c6ad0b5d26199cfa81adb90974c575be6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $3.98
- Realized PnL
- $1.88
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.98
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Biden pardon Hillary?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Two Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Crystal Palace be relegated?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Obama divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Arsenal wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?No 74% 4 shares
- Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?Yes 83% 5 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 91% 8.71 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 8.9% 8.71 shares
- Will the Commanders win the 2026 NFC Championship?No 97.8% 8.8 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 92.3% 2 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 93.2% 2 shares
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No 99.2% 9 shares
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No 99.3% 9 shares
- Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No 54% 2 shares
- Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No 55% 2 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 99.1% 9 shares