Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $635.45
- Potential payout
- $60.52K
- Potential profit
- $59.88K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $30.26
Polymarket Trader
longtermgains
0xebdc7650c1a441894071899c2941eea0bd5fbf08
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.32K
- Realized PnL
- $808.1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Current value
- $648.98
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- -$66.23
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $971.85
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$141.03
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$396
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316
- Potential profit
- $316
- User PnL
- -$3.79
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Current value
- $30.61
- Potential payout
- $277
- Potential profit
- $246.39
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- -$6.23
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $19.36
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $255.64
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Current value
- $82.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $167.13
- Multiplier
- 3.02x
- User PnL
- $36.53
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $7.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $242.38
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $46.83
- Potential payout
- $242
- Potential profit
- $195.17
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $18.51
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $23.64
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $216.36
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $189
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$9.6
No position
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $185
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $196.3
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $190
- User PnL
- -$3.8
No position
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $91.88
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $13.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $95.83
- Potential payout
- $102.66
- Potential profit
- $6.83
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $86.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $54.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $93.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.35
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $91
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $87.48
- Potential payout
- $87.52
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $29.13
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $51.59
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.15
Yes position
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.28
No position
Will Alexander Rybak win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.51
Yes position
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.93
No position
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $23.4
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
No position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.64
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $8.06
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.86
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.42
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will Sayf win Sanremo 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will Medina win Melodifestivalen 2026?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Sean Duffy be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Kelly Loeffler be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Mileo win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.04
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.99
No position
Will Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No 98.9% 19 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.7% 50 shares
- Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 45.33 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?No 36% 10 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat?No 38% 10 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat?No 36% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 1.2% 163.83 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 2% 113.79 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 1.2% 316 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 250 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 200 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.5% 100 shares