Yes position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $487.5
- Potential payout
- $75K
- Potential profit
- $74.51K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Polymarket Trader
S0rdidtrader
0xebdcc9eb7fd821d366fbd2d44eb0cb5086d37c8c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.52K
- Realized PnL
- $410.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $842.18
- Potential payout
- $871.37
- Potential profit
- $29.19
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $57.95
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $187.09
- Potential payout
- $495.61
- Potential profit
- $308.52
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$105.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.72
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.51
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.86
Yes position
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $29.43
No position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $17.8
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.76
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.68
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
No position
NATO article 5 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Israel strike Yemen 1 time by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will Dan Crenshaw sue Shawn Ryan by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Israel strike Yemen 3 times by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-01-21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 90% 871.37 shares
- Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 75,000 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No 99.6% 1,285.88 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?No 97.2% 1,285.88 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 96.6% 825.08 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 96.5% 666 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No 97.8% 510.24 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No 98.4% 917.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown 91.3% 499.21 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 1,066.49 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 500 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No 99.8% 408.76 shares