sohperde_69_420

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.84
Potential payout: $547.06
Potential profit: $540.22
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$11.96

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $237.1
Potential payout: $419.73
Potential profit: $182.62
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $55.17

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $182.59
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$7.41

Yes position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.26
Potential profit: $153.26
User PnL: -$15.68

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $8.19
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $136.74
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $49.08
Potential payout: $130.89
Potential profit: $81.81
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $12.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $114.97
Potential profit: $114.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $6.16
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $99.11
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $83.53
Potential payout: $104.41
Potential profit: $20.88
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $78.53

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $89.47
Potential payout: $102.25
Potential profit: $12.78
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $18.99
Potential payout: $101.8
Potential profit: $82.81
Multiplier: 5.36x
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.25
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$3.74

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $85.86
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $13.79
Potential payout: $94.12
Potential profit: $80.33
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.01
Potential profit: $80.01
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $22.04
Potential payout: $78.72
Potential profit: $56.68
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$10.79

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 42.7%
Current value: $31.6
Potential payout: $74.01
Potential profit: $42.41
Multiplier: 2.34x
User PnL: -$20.87

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.09
Potential profit: $69.09
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $60.91
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.6
Potential profit: $52.6
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.76
Potential profit: $50.76
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $25.65

Yes position

Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.81

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.28

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $8.63

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27

Aleksandar Kovacevic position

Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?