No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $144.49
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Polymarket Trader
EhBC
0xebefb7cc0454e73df8ee8602033e7c5331a78731
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.35K
- Realized PnL
- $1.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $752.39
- Potential payout
- $831.37
- Potential profit
- $78.98
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $625.34
- Potential payout
- $668.82
- Potential profit
- $43.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $539.56
- Potential payout
- $606.25
- Potential profit
- $66.69
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $51.56
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $524.22
- Potential payout
- $546.34
- Potential profit
- $22.13
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $24.22
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $441.13
- Potential payout
- $487.44
- Potential profit
- $46.31
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $30.83
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $433.02
- Potential payout
- $446.41
- Potential profit
- $13.39
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $33.02
Yes position
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $62.39
- Potential payout
- $445.61
- Potential profit
- $383.23
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$42.09
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $389.11
- Potential payout
- $429.96
- Potential profit
- $40.85
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.98
No position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $305.72
- Potential payout
- $421.68
- Potential profit
- $115.96
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $47.68
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $199.46
- Potential payout
- $340.96
- Potential profit
- $141.5
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $313.94
- Potential payout
- $339.39
- Potential profit
- $25.45
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $295.38
- Potential payout
- $322.82
- Potential profit
- $27.44
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Current value
- $247.19
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $65.31
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $219.12
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$30.88
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $46.28
- Potential payout
- $257.14
- Potential profit
- $210.85
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$27.82
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $208.13
- Potential payout
- $229.98
- Potential profit
- $21.85
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.35
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $199.84
- Potential payout
- $211.81
- Potential profit
- $11.97
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.36
N
No position
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $99.04
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $93.27
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $160.36
- Potential payout
- $170.6
- Potential profit
- $10.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $103.8
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $95.87
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $21.78
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$4.13
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $80.83
- Potential payout
- $83.42
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.99
Yes position
Will Su Yiming (CHN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.97
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.76
Yes position
Will Trump say "Death Tax" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.2
Yes position
Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.37
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Minneapolis" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.97
Yes position
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.61
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.73
Yes position
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.52
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.49
No position
Will Trump say "Ethanol" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.68
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.6
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $39.01
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.36
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.9
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.82
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.93
No position
Will Jungleman win at Hustler Casino on Friday?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.49
No position
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.31
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.16
No position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $146 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.48
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No 52% 192.31 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 80% 312.5 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 92% 217.39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 88% 101.14 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 87% 517.24 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 549.45 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 89% 58.43 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.4% 16.39 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.8% 22.47 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 9% 142.85 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 88% 343.18 shares
- Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?No 99.1% 305.11 shares