Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $25.2
- Potential payout
- $116.96
- Potential profit
- $91.75
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $5.2
Polymarket Trader
0xebfc...ef43
0xebfcfdd69d9ed537bca5868e014497c63cdeef43
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $130.02
- Realized PnL
- $114.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $46.95
- Potential payout
- $67.57
- Potential profit
- $20.61
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $57.87
- Potential payout
- $58.42
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- User PnL
- $9.87
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.81
- Potential profit
- $51.81
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.65
- Potential profit
- $37.65
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.69
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.52
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82.2% 58.42 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 74% 67.57 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 116.96 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No 95% 118.95 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes 26% 57.69 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 96% 4.88 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?No 95.9% 48.86 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?No 77% 42.86 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 24% 20.83 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 18% 27.78 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No 76% 42.11 shares